Sunday, April 18, 2010

Future Economy Council Meeting #14 (4/15/2010)

NC Engineering Center - ©2010 Pat Appleson Studios, Inc. All Rights Reserved, Used By Permission

This meeting was was held at the NC Center for Engineering Technologies. We had a special guest speaker, Dave Baldwin, President of Aquarian Technologies Systems in Lexington , Ohio. Dave is a nationally recognized facilitator and author of a new concept of using “interlocking networks” and self organizing systems for economic and community transformation. Dave is at the cutting edge of implementing new ideas and methods to help prepare communities for the on-going transformation of an economy and society that is constantly changing. Baldwin feels that one of the keys is to try a new approach by letting the community have ownership of and responsibility for the process and the results.

Terry Bledsoe opened the meeting by discussing the reasoning behind the creation of the Future Economy Council, what it is all about, and what collaborative efforts that have taken place in relation to other groups throughout the community. Terry introduced Dave as an Expert from outside of our community that would discuss ideas that have been talked about by the Future Economy Council.

Rick Smyre next spoke in introducing Dave Baldwin who he met at the World Future Society Conference several years ago. He stated that Dave is very involved in biotechnology and building networks around economic development. Dave is focused on taking diverse people with diverse ideas and understand that we are shifting from an age based on standard ideas, hierarchies, and predictability to a world of webs, networks, and multiple choices, as well as becoming comfortable with ambiguity and uncertainty.

Rick Smyre - ©2010 Pat Appleson Studios, Inc. All Rights Reserved, Used By Permission

Dave began by speaking about how Technology has given us the ability to connect with others instantly. Networking is not about collecting business cards. It is about relationships, intentions, and using the network. He stated that you have to have a context about network development. Why are you creating this network? He categorizes his business as a microenterprise. He states that that is where the economy is going to grow. He helped start a seven county biotech consortium in northeast Ohio. They are looking to attract a biotech workforce and preparing asset and attraction strategies to attract people who want to start biotech companies in Ohio.

Dave Baldwin - ©2010 Pat Appleson Studios, Inc. All Rights Reserved, Used By Permission

Dave talked about his consultant relationship with Dublin, Ohio, which is on of the Seven Intelligent Communities of the World - (in 2010 those cities are as follows) - Arlington County, VA; Dublin, Ohio; Dundee, Scotland; Eindhoven, Netherlands; Ottawa, Ontario; Suwon, South Korea; Tallinn, Estonia. This is based on capacity and use of broadband. They want Dave to develop network connections in Dublin.

Communities bring Dave in to build, grow, and sustain networks. These communities are looking to extend connections between communities to resources that they never thought were necessary or available to them. These networks are brought in in the spirit of innovation and growth.

NEXT BIG ECONOMIC CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES
IT & Innovation Foundation in Washington, DC. There are industries that are gone and aren't going to come back. Our strategies for investing in these is not appropriate. This foundation has identified a new economy and they have created new indicators of prosperity and growth in dealing with where the economy and world are headed.

They state that the U.S. economy and, by extension, state economies, face at least five key challenges over the course of the next decade. How well they meet these challenges and turn them into opportunities largely will determine whether the national and state economies will be growing and robust in the next decade or stagnant:
* Achieve the promise of the digital revolution
* Ride the next wave of innovation
* Build on the transition to a low carbon economy
* Take advantage of the new globalization
* Build on more balanced regional growth

Overall, the report uses twenty-nine indicators, divided into five categories that best capture what is new about the New Economy:

* Knowledge Jobs
* Globalization
* Economic Dynamism
* Transformation to a Digital Economy
* Technological Innovation Capacity

Dave mentioned a company involved in this new economy that is centers around Biomimedics and Biomimicry.

Biomimicry - Biomimicry is the science and art of emulating Nature's best biological ideas to solve human problems. The Biomimicry Institute promotes learning from and then emulating natural forms, processes, and ecosystems to create more sustainable and healthier human technologies and designs.

20th Century Innovations - (From: 21st Century Innovations by Eugene S. Meieran, Senior Intel Fellow at Intel Corp in Chandler, AZ as they appeared in “Grand Challenges for Engineering” of the National Academy of Engineering)
Electrification, Automobile, Airplane, Water supply and distribution, Electronics, Radio and television, Agricultural mechanization, Computers, Telephone, Air conditioning/refrigeration, Interstate highways, Space flight, Internet Imaging, Household appliances, Health technologies, Petrochemical technology, Laser and fiber optics, Nuclear technologies, High-performance materials.

21st Century Innovations - (From: 21st Century Innovations by Eugene S. Meieran, Senior Intel Fellow at Intel Corp in Chandler, AZ as they appeared in “Grand Challenges for Engineering” of the National Academy of Engineering)
Energy conservation, Resource protection, Food and water productions and distribution, Waste management, Education and learning, Medicine and prolonging life, Security and counter-terrorism, New technology, Genetics and cloning, Global communication, Traffic and population logistics, Knowledge sharing, Integrated electronic environment, Globalization, AI-interfaces and robotics, Weather prediction and control, Sustainable development, Entertainment, Space exploration, Virtualization and VR, Preservation of history, Preservation of species.

*** Dave stated that the above issues pose challenges, but they also hold the key to growth, prosperity, and a lot of excitement. Are we chasing the past or investing in the future?

Ideas of a Smart World

(“Smart World: Breakthrough Creativity and the New Science of Ideas” by Richard Ogle. Harvard Business School Press 2007)

An idea space is a domain or world viewed from the perspective of the intelligence embedded in it, intelligence that we can use – consciously or not – both to solve our everyday problems and to make the creative leaps that lead to breakthrough. Creative leaps arise not from exclusively internal operations of the individual mind (genius or otherwise), but from navigating the ideas of the smart world we have built for ourselves; locating the powerful, structured forms of intelligence embedded in them; and analogically transferring these to new spaces.

*** Dave stated that A lot of ideas come from the world through "collective intelligence." Networks promote "speed of change" and an ability to share information and an accumulate and build on information that the world has come to know without having to think it or learn it all by ourselves.

Critical Community Conversations
In many communities, it’s hard to find any effective civic process. There are no places where people come together routinely to discuss issues of common concern, like building a new community center or improving our schools. As we move our communities and regions to the Second Curve economy, we will need more vibrant, flexible and focused civic processes. We will need new ways of coming together to explore complex issues. We will need new places where we can routinely convene to explore new opportunities. We will rely on trusted conveners to help us. We will need new networks, yet building these networks should not be haphazard.

In the command and control world of the First Curve, conversation is regarded largely as a distraction…First Curve leaders often think of conversation as “just talk”. On the Second Curve, conversation plays a much more central role. Through conversation, we make sense of what is happening. The complexity of the change defies easy understanding… We need to test our assumptions and make adjustments… We have no way to ask the world to slow down or stop while we engage in a deliberate and lengthy strategic planning process. (“New Models of Economic Development” White Paper Version 0.5 by Ed Morrison, Director of I-Open – The Institute for Open Economic Networks. May 2006)

***Dave stated that we have been doing this through the FEC. In the past we focused so much on productivity and efficiency. In the 21st century, we need to talk to one another and build our communities. Community and economic development have blended. We need to build relationships through networking. In the past conversation was viewed as a distraction.

Bridging Disparate Worlds
Technology brokers have discovered how to bridge the disparate worlds they move among outside their boundaries, and how to build new ventures from the technologies and people they come across. In the process, they have developed four intertwined work practices that help them do this:
1)Capturing good ideas
2)Keeping ideas alive
3)Imagining new uses for old ideas
4)Putting promising concepts to the test

***Dave talked about the disparate worlds that he is involved in and how he is educating himself about these different industries and how it makes him valuable to other entities, because of what he has to offer.

The 4 Laws of Networks
1) Luck = consciousness x transparency
2) Innovation = learning x diverse connections
3) Influence = credibility x location
4) Network growth = introductions x generosity

*** Dave stated that he and his colleague Jack Ricchiuto (Designing Life) are designing community development strategies and structures for participation. The old way was very cloistered and secretive, because of hyper-competition. Networking Science shows that it is best to collaborate, because there are many ways that we can collaborate without competing.

Effective Networks
- Boards are becoming tired structures for organizational change. They don't involve the richness of the other parts of the network and don't respond fast enough to the changes in communities and organizations that we are seeing.

Five general patterns are observed in all effective networks:
1. Birds of a feather flock together - nodes link together because of common attributes, goals
or governance.


2. Diversity is important. Though clusters form around common attributes and goals, vibrant networks maintain connections to diverse nodes and clusters. A diversity of connections is required to maximize innovation in the network.

3. Rich Connections - Robust networks have several paths between any two nodes. If several nodes or links are damaged or removed, other pathways exist for uninterrupted information flow between the
remaining nodes.


4. Some nodes are more prominent than others – they are either hubs, brokers, or boundary spanners. They are critical to network health. Roles emerge because of position and personality.

5. Most nodes in the network are connected by an indirect link in the network. A-B-C-D shows a direct link between A and B, but indirect links between A and C and A and D. Yet, the average path length in the network tends to be short. There are very few long paths in the network that lead to delay and distortion of information flow and knowledge exchange.

*** Knit the Net - Intentional strategy - Valdis Kres & June Holley
Experience shows that most communities start as small emergent clusters organized around common interests or goals. Usually these clusters are isolated from each other. They are very small groups of 1-5 people or organizations that have connected out of necessity. If these fragments do not organize further, the community structure remains weak and underproducing. They are working with communities to make them recession proof by weaving networks to grow local sustainable economies.

Network Weaving - Master Capacity Building
Strength of Weak Ties & Innovation - As the weaver connects various individuals, organizations and clusters, these entities connect to each other loosely. A new dynamic is revealed here – the strength of ‘weak ties’. Weak ties are connections that are not as frequent, intense, as strong network ties that form the backbone of a network. Strong ties are usually found within a network cluster, while weak ties are found between clusters. As clusters begin to connect to each other, the first bridging links are usually weak ties. Over time weak ties may retain their structure by bridging separate clusters or they may grow in to become strong ties binding previously separate groups into a new larger cluster.

Bridging ties between clusters are also important in innovation. New ideas are often discovered outside the local domain. To get transformative ideas you often have go outside of your group. A successful formula for creating ties for innovation is to find other groups that are both similar and different than your own. Similarity helps build trust, while diversity introduces new ideas and perspectives -- Connect on your similarity, and profit from your diversity.


Meta Networks - Are large networks of networks; That are multi-centered – having no single center of control; Yet bound together by trusted relationships and shared values, goals, and experiences. Multi-Centered - No Center of Control - Illusion of Control. We are moving away from Hirarchies and from command and control organizational strategies. Out of chaos and complexity will come order if you allow it to self-organize.

- Duncan Work - Inventor/designer of social software for the Internet; organizational consultant. former Chief Scientist for LinkedIn. Bio: http://www.linkedin.com/in/duncanwork.

What are the effects of Darkness in Networks - Dark Networks exist, but they are invisible to us, because we have not met the people we need to meet. Fragmentation of the network that impedes flow of ideas and resources. Making more mistakes than would be made in a ‘brighter’ meta network. Delay, excess cost and effort, or failure to deliver needed money, talent, knowledge and ideas that are vital for success.

Questions
Steve Ivester asked about Capital and its effects on this system? Dave discussed asset mapping and community economic development. How do we define wealth and assets and the ability to get things done that don't cost as much through connections, through bartering and volunteerism. Looking at new indicators of wealth. Coming up with a local stock exchange. Coming up with a different way of fostering capital. Changing jobs and technologies that are available to the community.

Rick introduced Keva.com as a way to access capital. PayPal was about developing capital outside of the Central Banking system. He also talked about Instant Manufacturing and Boutique Manufacturing around the world as part of the emergence of the Creative Molecular Economy that will help deal with the issue of capital not being defined in the traditional way.

I (Thom Shell) asked about strides that have been made in Dave's community? Dave talked about Open Source Economic Development and asset mapping involving things like nanotechnology, biotechnology, and advanced manufacturing. There are a lot of assets that have been available in the local community that businesses didn't know were available. He talked about how they have identified developed a supply chain. It's about agenda setting and capacity building. No one is excluded. This system is not ignorant of capitalism. It celebrates it.

Future Economy Council Meeting #13 (3/18/2010)

1) Custom Manufacturing
a) The issues of commitment and focus
b) Generation and Vetting of ideas
c) How do we get ideas out to the community?
d) Fostering, Mentoring, and Incubating Ideas
e) The Hyper Competition problem amongst local companies in our community - Would the suggested Real Time - Virtual software that was proposed be implemented as a partnership or independent entity?

2) Demonstration of Applications (Such as the proposed Real-Time - Virtual - CAD Rendering Manufacturing)
a) Connections - Do we have existing connections or will we have to cold call?
b) What is the value of internet bandwidth?
c) Houston stated that eventually the bandwidth becomes a utility ((Allows something (creation and implementation?) to happen).
d) At this point in time this software needs to be focused as much as possible on Google applications.
e) This has the possibility to show Google where their apps are lacking -- and maybe a local could help in that proprietary design process?
f) This is a proof of concept / pilot product
g) Steve Ivester mentioned the Solid Works User Group - They should definitely be involved!
h) Manufacturing Solutions Center should definitely be involved.
i) We need to move from Competition to Collaboration (This may demonstrate how to do that).
j) Ivester addressed transitional processes, such as the IBT allowing the cooperation between Hickory and Lenoir to occur.
k) Collaboration will help the community create energy amongst its human resources.

*** Further dialogue on this item - We need to help Dan St. Louis to write a grant proposal to the Gold Leaf Foundation for the Custom Furniture idea. Every idea from the FEC should not be funding driven. We have to get the components to agree to participate before we can present a unified front to go get a grant. There are so many technologies to integrate in that business model that we really need an integrator.

We have to have the players that are willing to commit the hours to get this off the ground. Are we trying to create a business or an industry. Dan (a public interest) facilitating this will create an industry. This will benefit everybody. Private interests creating this will create a business. In the end, there will have to be knowledge experts who can hold the various strings and there always has to be someone holding those strings or in the end it will start to unravel.

A problem we (the FEC) will always wrestle with is that we aren’t a skunk works for private enterprise. We don’t have R&D guys. We have no teeth (Capital). We rely on the kindness of others.

3) The proposed Economic and Science Fair
a) I stated that we need some outlandish marketing to bring attention from the community
b) Jay mentioned a Great Balls of Fire event that took place in Lenoir - We can do hokey well.
c) Danny mentioned the possibility of an emerging issues event
d) I say go for it. We need to get the community to be more passionate about our plight.

*** Further dialogue on this issue has brought about the possibility of a symposium coming to fruition involving leading Technologists and local entrepreneurs in the field of graphic design and computer information systems.


4) Houston mentioned the fact that negative issues always get the headlines in the HDR
a) I (Thom Shell) will be the first to admit that sometimes I contribute to that, but I try to do it in a thorough and factual manner.
b) All of us who have made contributions have had them chopped to bits, at points in time, which can change the contextual meaning.
c) Our group needs to be more proactive on this issue by discovering methods to facilitate Intelligence Operatives (Fact Finders) to get the whole story.
d) If we gather the intelligence, then we can put out a cohesive message.
e) Cohesive is better than optimistic, because it brings the literate and caring public into the equation and will allow them to buy-in to processes.
f) Terry needs to get onto Hal Row. A huge platform is irrelevant. It is one of the few opportunities we have. We need to take advantage of it.

Future Economy Council Meeting #12 (3/8/2010)

Today, March 8, 2010, I attended a meeting of the Future Economy Council that discussed the Google effort on a multi-faceted level.

A few new notes
I asked if they (Google) want to facilitate laying the wire, but they don't want to manage the wire? Paul Baird (Consultant) stated that they are building a utility and will operate the utility. How long until they turn it over to anyone else is anyone's guess. I asked if was open ended, are there no timetables or capacity? Kim Hudson (consultant) stated that they may choose one community or they may choose five. They are very non-committal about how quick this will turn around and what their long term plans are. They are interested in how they might be able to utilize Google Apps by implementing this network. I asked if there had been any one-on-one communications with Google? Kim stated no and Google has specified that they don't want any personal contact. There are around 2,000 communities applying for this implementation.

Shane Pitman asked about what Google's interaction will be with local internet providers. Houston stated that was the point, to end the chokehold, drive up competition and drive down the price. Shane asked about the management of the wire and Paul stated that Google has not stated that they would hand off the management, that is just the assumption. This is a digital utility, like a road. This will not be a public-private partnership. Google will choose where it will be built, they aren't looking for any incentives or help. They will choose it for their own purposes.

Installations to the home will be contracted. As far as the connection between Hickory and Lenoir, Google will lay their own cable or lease the space from someone else. Duke Net and Century Link are alternatives to leasing. Parameters are 50,000 to 500,000 population and they want a broad spectrum of socio-economic demographics. This could be Google's development effort for the next 100 years. The RFI (Request For Information will include Right of Way issues. This is another Experimental Lab for Google. This will highlight Caldwell and Catawba Counties, between the 321 corridor linking Hickory and Lenoir. It will be Google's choice how and where to lay the fiber along that area. Telephone poles are owned by Duke Energy and they lease space on the poles.

Thoughts
Google needs to know that this community is in the process of creating a new kind of social leadership structure that supports continuous innovation and understands the importance of a systemic community transformation initiative. This Broadband initiative would not be about satisfying individual needs. It would be a building block utilized to progress local society culturally, as well as technologically.

It might be silly for us to think about what Google wants out of all of this and some statements were made that it is irrelevant, but in the end we as humans are curious by nature and for us to come full circle and feel comfortable about this idea and its issues, we have to be able to wrap our minds around the process. We have to at least think we know what someone else is thinking, even if we truly don't have a clue.

Rick Smyre talked about the Semantic Web and the ability to have artificial intelligence that utilize voice synthesis. These are going to be concepts that come to fruition in the next 5 years. We don't need to look at the structures in place today. We need to look at the existing week signals in our area, because these signals will come to fruition in the next 5 years. We need to identify what is emerging. This is one of the reasons why the United States has fallen back.

Houston stated that if we get this, we don't have to worry about branding, because businesses will be banging on our door. Jay Adams stated that that is very important to brand this area as a place where innovation can occur. He then talked about the idea of utilizing the existing rail line for this broad band corridor that lies between Hickory and Lenoir. You have 5 communities and vacant buildings that can be utilized.

Here are some terms and ideas discussed and generated by the group, its mentors, and associates:
1) Augmented Realities
2) Smart Houses (Home Automation) and the Smart Grid
3) 21st Century healthcare involving monitoring, diagnoses, and treatment via nanotechnology
4) Support for home-based businesses
5) High-Def and 3-D Entertainment
6) Enables Home-Based Individualized Education in a Virtual Classroom
7) Enhanced Mobile Technologies by integrating them with the Cloud and the Smart Grid.
8) Enables 21st Century Mobile Governance and Direct Consensus Democracy

Steve Ivester asked if he were doing product development for companies in Beijing or Sweden, and sending digital drawings, does this provide part of the solution or all of the solution? Houston Harris stated that potentially the choke-hold would be on the other end and that's a good thing. Mick Berry stated it's not about the bottleneck. It's not about technical analysis. It is about thinking big. What do you think you can do if you have this kind of Broadband Capacity and you need to articulate that.

I mentioned about the fact that we don't have an affordable (State supported) medical University on this side of the state. We could utilize this capacity to send 3-D images back and forth to Chapel Hill or East Carolina. It could be used for virtual classrooms. Steve Ivester interjected about remotely directed 3-D surgery. Amy Powell talked about a Doctor in California who has 6 other doctors who travel and he instructs them remotely.

We next talked about information systems, smart traffic systems, security issues, 3-D, and virtual reality.

Harry Hipps asked how Google is going to assess this once this is in place, if we are picked?
Is Google's interest technical? He further stated, "I am sure that they would like to see good economic development, but I can't see this as there basic motivation."

Houston Harris stated that it is about ideas. They are a creative center and he believes they feel they have tapped out their own ideas and now they want fresh ideas to come in from the public and Google can worry about managing the company. It was stated that this is "Crowdsourcing."

I asked how many of these Gig networks are in the United States and Worldwide?
Houston stated there may be a few metro-nets and Terry Bledsoe stated that there may be a few in Europe. That led me to ask if this would make us an incubator? Which led everyone to answer a resounding yes. If we are an incubator, then this starts out a process of spreading the web. Shane Pitman stated that we shouldn't be so naive that they aren't monitoring the data. They are looking not to improve the infrastructure. They are looking to improve their own products and services. Kim Hudson stated that 99% of their revenue is from advertising.

Terry reeled us back in by stating that we aren't here to figure out Google. We need innovative ideas to submit to attract Google here. Leave the marketing to the consultants.

Shane Pitman talked about Bloom Grocery and their use of RFID chips on the groceries and customer based scanning - Supermarket Tech & Ease. Jay Adams talked about the possibilities of a Grocery Store along the Rail Corridor that doesn't have a parking lot, because a home based scanner can be used to scan the groceries you run out of during the week. The information is stored in a database and the products can be picked and delivered to you at a depot on the rail line near where you live and where it will be available for you to pick up. People will be willing to rely on barcodes for inventory of household products.

Jay talked about the rail corridor and how it is densely populated and it connects Hickory and Lenoir, and it does have Google on it. MDI is about distribution and Logistics, so we can at least discuss the feasibility of the idea. Steve Ivester concurred that is a reason we can move the peg forward.

Houston talked about how a restaurant, such as Backstreets, can utilize a service such as this to keep inventory and I added that this could also be coordinated with your cash register. This would automatically coordinate the order between the restaurant and a purveyor, such as IFH. John Bates stated that Walmart has been doing that for 15 years - EDI. The question is can this be taken down to a micro scale? The consensus was that we could.

Kim stated that she would like to show the augmented use of Google applications from people in this area. She wants people to become fans of Facebook. They want people to please plop ideas onto the site and they utilize these for the official "Request For Information" that will be submitted in a couple of weeks. We are encouraged to think about ways to advertise on Google.

Steve Ivester stated that he believes that we have existing manufacturers that can help us succeed in innovation of 21st Century healthcare involving monitoring, diagnoses, and treatment via nanotechnology. He cited Moose Industries and various world-class doctors we have in the area.

I took the conversation in a bit of a different direction by talking about Real-Time Manufacturing and the capability to coordinate it with the Manufacturing Solutions Center at CVCC. Why can't we have people throughout the United States sending those Micro ideas in here and letting Dan St. Louis and the people down there help develop those products.

Steve Ivester stated that he doesn't have any trouble listing a dozen industries of the future where we already have weak signals in place. We are an area of innovation, but we have been knocked down by textiles and furniture. The seeds are there for more innovation.

Jay Adams suggested we do a scavenger hunt to search for areas of innovation and come back to discuss true areas of innovation and we can grow it from there. Houston talked about the branding piece. The start-up, incubator, growth area is where we need to focus, because our biggest companies have left the area. We can rebuild the area with smaller companies that will grow.

A message from Catawba County's Information Director Terry Bledsoe (The Chairman of the Catawba County Future Economy Council): It's Simply "Magic"

Below are links to the history of this movement according to the Hickory Hound:
BROAD BAND!!!
City of Hickory - Thinking Big with a Gig

I have a Dream - A 21st Century Hickory

Woogle - How You can Help Us Get Google Ultra High Speed Broadband

3,040 Facebook Fans of the Woogle Initiative - Team Woogle meets with FEC
3/9/2010 - Woogle Town Hall meeting tonight done. Onto Lenoir Thursday night
Google - Come make History in Hickory!!!
Hickory's Diaspora - Bring Home the Scattered Seeds
Team Woogle's Final Push - Before Hickory City Council - 3/23/2010
Google Request for Information website - Help spread the word
Please don't forget about the Woogle initiative